19 Apr

Zion Williamson’s injury is even crueler twist of fate for Pelicans because of what it interrupted

Playing with Zion Williamson is not like playing with anyone else. He is a flying brick, a 6-foot-6 playmaker who rarely shoots jumpers but plows through and soars over defenders. He throws down thunderous dunks, has a feathery touch and does not fit anywhere on the conventional positional spectrum.

“I almost relate him to KAT, a reverse KAT,” Larry Nance Jr., Williamson’s teammate with the New Orleans Pelicans, said last month, referencing Minnesota Timberwolves big man Karl-Anthony Towns. “Karl’s a ‘5’ but really plays as a 4, whereas Z is a ‘4’ but really plays as a ballhandling 5.”

In recent years, NBA coaches have instructed players to set ball screens higher and higher, sometimes even close to halfcourt, in an effort to stretch the defense out and give ballhandlers more space. When Williamson has the ball, however, it is not unusual to see Nance or Jonas Valanciunas set screens around the free throw line or in the paint. This isn’t because the Pelicans have been watching old instructional videos; it is because their opponents often back off of Williamson and go under against his pick-and-rolls.

“I mean, the play is to screen for him at the 3-point line,” Nance said. “But I tell you what, if you’re going to get that deep under screens, you’re always taught, ‘Get a hit, hit the defender wherever he’s at.’ So if he’s high, screen him high. If he’s low, you gotta go as low as you can to get him.”

Nance has “set screens for Z at the block,” he said, and seen Williamson immediately go up for a hook shot or explode to the basket.

“If that’s how you want to guard it, fantastic,” Nance said. “I would love him to operate in that space.”

On Tuesday, in the fourth quarter of a play-in game against the Los Angeles Lakers, Nance screened LeBron James, Williamson’s man, at the elbow, and Williamson burst past Anthony Davis for a layup. This sparked a 13-2 run that tied the game. After a Davis putback and a New Orleans timeout, Nance set a ball screen for Williamson at the opposite elbow, forcing a switch. Williamson went right at Davis, got into the paint and tied it up again, giving him 40 points (on 17-for-27 shooting) in the first postseason game of his career.

It was immediately clear that, as far as signature performances go, this topped Williamson’s spectacular two-way showing against the Phoenix Suns a week prior. Two days removed from this same Lakers limiting him to 12 points on 4-for-13 shooting in an ugly regular-season finale, Williamson was carrying the Pelicans when they needed it the most. Neither CJ McCollum, who had ended the season on a heater, nor Brandon Ingram, who had just returned from a knee injury, had caught a rhythm offensively against Los Angeles. The entire run happened with Jose Alvarado, Herb Jones, Trey Murphy III and Nance on the floor next to Williamson, the unquestioned star of the show.

After Williamson’s shot went in, though, he grimaced and motioned toward New Orleans’ bench. Los Angeles called a timeout, and Williamson walked straight to the locker room. The Pelicans kept fighting for the final three minutes, but lost 110-106, setting up an elimination game against the Sacramento Kings on Friday with a playoff spot on the line. Williamson won’t play in that game, and if they win, he’ll miss the start of the playoffs, too; the team announced Wednesday that he strained his left hamstring and will be reevaluated in about two weeks.

The timing is brutal. New Orleans might not have been playing on Tuesday if not for injuries — the team was a half-game out of fourth place before Ingram hyperextended his knee less than a month ago, a blow that was compounded by Alvarado missing five games with a right oblique strain and Williamson missing one game (and part of another) with a finger injury. Instead of preparing for Williamson’s playoff series, though, the Pelicans now face the possibility of missing the playoffs altogether. They have more than enough talent to be competitive without their franchise player, but opposing teams won’t have to worry about those low screens leading to lefty layups. Without Williamson bulldozing people, they are conventional.

If this is an even bigger buzzkill than any of Williamson’s previous injuries, it is because of what it interrupted. Williamson was not only making the absolute most of the stage he had that night, he had been showing for months that he — and, by extension, New Orleans — had gotten serious. He was in the best shape of his career, playing the best defense of his career and leading a deep and exciting team that was doing everything it could to make its pieces fit. For a player who had put in the work to be able to play heavy minutes of high-intensity basketball, getting hurt in his 37th minute was a cruel twist of fate.

If you are the particularly pessimistic sort, you can frame the injury as a total catastrophe: The Pelicans didn’t profile as a championship contender with Williamson, and, if they don’t get the chance to go through a playoff series with him, it’ll make it more difficult for them to become one. The front office will be robbed of the opportunity to see what issues need to be addressed to be more playoff-ready next season, and Williamson will continue to be seen as inherently injury-prone. Whether New Orleans makes minor tweaks (i.e. some talent consolidation around the edges) or major changes (i.e. moving Ingram or McCollum) to the roster this summer, it will be doing so from a position of relative weakness, rather than strength.

There is, however, a glass-half-full view of the situation: Williamson has just shown the world what he can do when he’s fully committed, and it’s surely better to have given everybody this glimpse of greatness and suffered a setback than to never have ascended to such heights in the first place. This injury does not erase the immense progress that Williamson has made, nor does it mean that executive vice president David Griffin can’t come away from the season with tons of ideas about how to build around him. As much of a bummer as it is, the team is still fairly young, a work in progress and unlikely to win a championship in the short term anyway. Whether Williamson is back in a couple weeks or at the beginning of training camp, he and the Pelicans should only be hungrier for it.

19 Apr

Prediction, TV channel, live stream, how to watch NBA Play-In Tournament online, odds, time

The Philadelphia 76ers and Miami Heat will face off on Wednesday with a chance at the No. 7 seed in the East playoffs on the line. The Sixers got here after a season that can really be defined by two halves: with and without Joel Embiid. Before Embiid went down with a meniscus that sidelined him for two months, the Sixers had the third-best net rating in the league, and Embiid was a frontrunner for MVP. Things quickly changed after he was sidelined, and as a result, the Sixers tumbled down the standings.

For the Heat, the season has also been filled with injuries to Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro and standout rookie Jaime Jaquez Jr., as well as a trade that sent Kyle Lowry to the Hornets — eventually, he joined the Sixers — while Miami got Terry Rozier from Charlotte. While Miami hasn’t been dominant, they enter the play-in with one of the best defensive units since the All-Star break.

It’ll be an intriguing matchup between the Sixers and Heat, so here’s what you need to know ahead of the first Eastern Conference Play-In game.

76ers vs. Heat
Date: Wednesday, April 17 | Time: 7 p.m. ET
Location: Wells Fargo Center — Philadelphia
TV channel: ESPN | Live stream: fubo (try for free)
Odds: Sixers -4.5; O/U 207.5
Storylines
Sixers: Embiid is back, and while he missed Philly’s regular-season finale for precautionary reasons, he did tweak the knee he had surgery on in the Sixers’ second-to-last game of the season. I doubt he doesn’t play for the Sixers, given its importance, but it should be at least somewhat concerning. But if Embiid’s knee isn’t bothering him, he’ll be unstoppable against the Heat. Bam Adebayo offers a solid option to defend Embiid, but even he won’t be able to stop the Philly big man from getting his points and, more importantly, getting to the free-throw line. Having Embiid back also opens things up for Tyrese Maxey, who can operate with more space and less defensive attention.

Heat: It’s going to be a tall task for Miami to knock off the Sixers, who will be playing at home. Not to mention the fact that Miami’s offense can’t be relied upon to score a ton of points. We’ve seen in the past how the Heat can get hot and outshoot pretty much anyone, but as it stands, they rank 21st in the league on offense. While their defense will keep them in this game, if others outside of Butler and Adebayo can’t produce, it’ll be tough to overpower the Sixers.

Prediction
If Embiid is healthy, the Sixers should be heavily favored here. I don’t see how the Heat stop him, and the Sixers’ supporting cast feels more reliable than the Heat’s. The Pick: Sixers -4.5

19 Apr

2024 NBA Play-In Tournament picks, April 17 best bets by proven model

The Chicago Bulls and the Atlanta Hawks link up in a 9 vs. 10 battle in the 2024 NBA Play-In Tournament on Wednesday. These teams matched up three times in the regular season, and Chicago won the series 2-1. However, on April 1, the Hawks topped the Bulls 113-101. The winner of this battle moves on to face off against the Philadelphia 76ers or Miami Heat to determine who gets the eighth seed in the East. Jalen Johnson (ankle) and Onyeka Okongwu (toe) are out for Atlanta, while Ayo Dosunmu (quad) and Andre Drummond (ankle) are listed as questionable for Chicago.

Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at United Center in Chicago. The Bulls are 3-point favorites in the latest Hawks vs. Bulls odds via SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total points is 223. Before making any Bulls vs. Hawks picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 88-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,600. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bulls vs. Hawks and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Hawks vs. Bulls:

Hawks vs. Bulls spread: Bulls -3
Hawks vs. Bulls over/under: 223 points
Hawks vs. Bulls money line: Chicago -152, Atlanta +127
CHI: Has hit the team total Over in 31 of its last 45 games
ATL: Has hit the 4Q Under in 33 of its last 48 games
Hawks vs. Bulls picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Bulls can cover
Guard Coby White is an agile and shifty ball handler who does a great job at creating space for his shots. The UNC product averages 19.1 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 5.1 assists per game. He’s scored 20-plus points in three of his last four outings, and in a Sunday loss to the Knicks, White finished with 26 points and four assists.

Guard Alex Caruso plays with relentless energy on both ends of the floor. Caruso does a lot of the dirty work and fights for any loose ball. The Texas A&M product is at his best when he’s attacking the paint offensively. He logs 10.1 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game. On Sunday, Caruso tallied 15 points, eight assists, and five steals. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Hawks can cover
Guard Dejounte Murray excels attacking downhill and getting into the paint. Murray has the bounce to soar high and power to finish through contact in the paint. He logs 22.5 points, 5.3 rebounds and 6.4 assists per contest. Murray also averages 1.4 steals and shoots 36% from beyond the arc. In his last matchup, the Washington product tallied 32 points, three assists and made four threes.

Guard Bogdan Bogdanovic is a versatile playmaker in the backcourt. Bogdanovic owns a pure jumper to space out the floor and will put the ball on the floor when needed. The 31-year-old puts up 16.9 points, 3.4 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game. Additionally, he shoots 37% from 3-point land. On April 10 against the Hornets, Bogdanovic notched 19 points and eight assists. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Hawks vs. Bulls picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 219 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time. You can only get the model’s picks at SportsLine.

19 Apr

Postseason matchups as 76ers advance to face Knicks, Bulls eliminate Hawks

The 2024 NBA postseason kicked off this week, and two teams have already been eliminated from the bracket. The Warriors and Hawks have seen their seasons come to a close in the Play-In Tournament, while the Lakers and 76ers have advanced to the playoffs as the No. 7 seeds in their respective conferences. The Bulls were the most recent postseason victor, ousting the Hawks on Wednesday night to advance to face the Heat for the East’s No. 8 seed on Friday. Coby White, the potential Most Improved Player, scored a game-high 42 points to end the Hawks’ season.

The Kings — who knocked out the Warriors — will face the Zion Williamson-less Pelicans on Friday in the final Play-In game with the West’s No. 1 seed up for grabs. A notable injury hangs over the Heat-Bulls game on Friday as well, as Miami star Jimmy Butler is dealing with a knee issue.

With the Lakers and 76ers advancing, six of the eight first-round playoff matchups are set. It will be Knicks-76ers, Bucks-Pacers and Cavaliers-Magic in the East, and Nuggets-Lakers, Timberwolves-Suns and Clippers-Mavericks in the West.

Here’s a look at the complete playoff bracket with all the seeds set. You can see the full playoff schedule here.

2024 NBA playoff bracket
West
(1) Thunder vs. (8) Pelicans/Kings
(2) Nuggets vs. (7) Lakers
(3) Timberwolves vs. (6) Suns
(4) Clippers vs. (5) Mavericks

East
(1) Celtics vs. (8) Heat/Bulls
(2) Knicks vs. (7) 76ers
(3) Bucks vs. (6) Pacers
(4) Cavaliers vs. (5) Magic

Kim O’Reilly, CBS Sports
Final Eastern Conference standings
Boston Celtics – 64-18
New York Knicks – 50-32
Milwaukee Bucks – 49-33
Cleveland Cavaliers – 48-34
Orlando Magic – 47-35
Indiana Pacers – 47-35
Philadelphia 76ers – 47-35
Miami Heat – 46-36
Chicago Bulls – 39-43
Atlanta Hawks – 36-46
Final Western Conference standings
Oklahoma City Thunder – 57-25
Denver Nuggets – 57-25
Minnesota Timberwolves – 56-26
Los Angeles Clippers – 51-31
Dallas Mavericks – 50-32
Phoenix Suns – 49-33
New Orleans Pelicans – 49-33
Los Angeles Lakers – 47-35
Sacramento Kings – 46-36
Golden State Warriors – 46-36
Play-In Tournament schedule, scores
(All times Eastern)

Tuesday, April 16
No. 8 Lakers 110, No. 7 Pelicans 106
No. 9 Kings 118, No. 10 Warriors 94

Wednesday, April 17
No. 7 76ers 105, No. 8 Heat 104
No. 9 Bulls 131, No. 10 Hawks 116

Friday, April 19
Heat vs. Bulls, 7 p.m. ESPN/fubo
Pelicans vs. Kings, 9:30 p.m., TNT

2024 NBA playoffs schedule: First weekend
Saturday, April 20
Game 1: Cavaliers vs. Magic, 1 p.m., ESPN/fubo
Game 1: Timberwolves vs. Suns, 3:30, ESPN/fubo
Game 1: Knicks vs. 76ers, 6 p.m., ESPN/fubo
Game 1: Nuggets vs. Lakers, 8:30 p.m., ABC/fubo

Sunday, April 21
Game 1: Celtics vs. East No. 8, 1 p.m., ABC/fubo
Game 1: Clippers vs. Mavericks, 3:30 p.m., ABC/fubo
Game 1: Bucks vs. Pacers, 7 p.m., TNT
Game 1: Thunder vs. West No. 8, 9:30 p.m., TNT

19 Apr

Schedule, times, TV info with dates set for first round, Play-In wraps up Friday

The NBA postseason has arrived. Two months of postseason basketball got started on Tuesday night with the opening games of the Play-In Tournament, and the playoffs will keep going through the NBA Finals in June. Most playoff seeds were determined on Sunday in a hectic day to close the regular season, but the Play-In Tournament is setting the No. 7 and No. 8 seeds in both conferences. Here’s a look at the complete playoff picture.

In the East, the 76ers came from behind to beat the Heat on Wednesday night to get the No. 7 seed and a first-round meeting with the Knicks. In the nightcap, the Bulls ended the Hawks’ season, advancing in the Play-In Tournament to face Miami for the No. 8 seed on Friday.

The Lakers and Kings were victorious in the Play-In Tournament on Tuesday night. The Lakers grabbed the West’s No. 7 seed in the process, and the Kings ousted the Warriors. It will be Kings vs. Pelicans on Friday night to determine the West’s No. 8 seed.

The six first-round series set in stone right now are Nuggets-Lakers, Timberwolves-Suns, Clippers-Mavericks, Bucks-Pacers, Cavaliers-Magic and Knicks-76ers. The NBA recently unveiled dates for every first-round game, including game times and TV/streaming info for the first four games of every series.

Below is the up-to-date 2024 NBA playoffs schedule.

All NBA playoff games airing on ABC, ESPN and NBA TV will be streaming on fubo (try for free).

Play-In Tournament schedule, scores
(All times Eastern)

Tuesday, April 16
No. 8 Lakers 110, No. 7 Pelicans 106
No. 9 Kings 118, No. 10 Warriors 94

Wednesday, April 17
No. 7 76ers 105, No. 8 Knicks 104
No. 9 Bulls 131, No. 10 Hawks 116

Friday, April 19
Heat vs. Bulls, 7 p.m., ESPN/fubo
Pelicans vs. Kings, 9:30 p.m., TNT

2024 NBA playoffs schedule: First round
(All times Eastern)

Saturday, April 20
Game 1: Cavaliers vs. Magic, 1 p.m., ESPN/fubo
Game 1: Timberwolves vs. Suns, 3:30, ESPN/fubo
Game 1: Knicks vs. 76ers, 6 p.m., ESPN/fubo
Game 1: Nuggets vs. Lakers, 8:30 p.m., ABC/fubo

Sunday, April 21
Game 1: Celtics vs. East No. 8, 1 p.m., ABC/fubo
Game 1: Clippers vs. Mavericks, 3:30 p.m., ABC/fubo
Game 1: Bucks vs. Pacers, 7 p.m., TNT
Game 1: Thunder vs. West No. 8, 9:30 p.m., TNT

Monday, April 22
Game 2: Cavaliers vs. Magic, 7 p.m., NBA TV/fubo
Game 2: Knicks vs. 76ers, 7:30 p.m., TNT
Game 2: Nuggets vs. Lakers, 10 p.m., TNT

Tuesday, April 23
Game 2: Timberwolves vs. Suns, 7:30 p.m., TNT
Game 2: Bucks vs. Pacers, 8:30 p.m., NBA TV/fubo
Game 2: Clippers vs. Mavericks, 10 p.m., TNT

Wednesday, April 24
Game 2: Celtics vs. East No. 8, 7 p.m., TNT
Game 2: Thunder vs. West No. 8, 9:30 p.m., TNT

Thursday, April 25
Game 3: Magic vs. Cavaliers, 7 p.m., NBA TV/fubo
Game 3: 76ers vs. Knicks, 7:30 p.m., TNT
Game 3: Lakers vs. Nuggets, 10 p.m., TNT

Friday, April 26
Game 3: Pacers vs. Bucks, 5:30 p.m., ESPN/fubo
Game 3: Mavericks vs. Clippers, 8 p.m., ESPN/fubo
Game 3: Suns vs. Timberwolves, 10:30 p.m., ESPN/fubo

Saturday, April 27
Game 4: Magic vs. Cavaliers, 1 p.m., TNT
Game 3: West No. 8 vs. Thunder, 3:30 p.m., TNT
Game 3: East No. 8 vs. Celtics, 6 p.m., TNT
Game 4: Lakers vs. Nuggets, 8:30 p.m., ABC/fubo

Sunday, April 28
Game 4: Knicks vs. 76ers, 1 p.m., ABC/fubo
Game 4: Mavericks vs. Clippers, 3:30 p.m., ABC/fubo
Game 4: Pacers vs. Bucks, 7 p.m., TNT
Game 4: Suns vs. Timberwolves, 9:30 p.m., TNT

Monday, April 29
Game 4: East No. 8 vs. Celtics, TBD
Game 4: West No. 8 vs. Thunder, TBD
Game 5*: Nuggets vs. Lakers, TBD

Tuesday, April 30
Game 5: Knicks vs. 76ers, TBD Game 5: Bucks vs. Pacers, TBD
Game 5: Cavaliers vs. Magic, TBD Game 5: Timberwolves vs. Suns, TBD

Wednesday, May 1
Game 5: Celtics vs. East No. 8, TBD Game 5: Thunder vs. West No. 8, TBD
Game 5*: Clippers vs. Mavericks, TBD

Thursday, May 2
Game 6: 76ers vs. Knicks, TBD Game 6: Pacers vs. Bucks, TBD
Game 6: Suns vs. Timberwolves, TBD Game 6: Lakers vs. Nuggets, TBD

Friday, May 3
Game 6: East No. 8 vs. Celtics, TBD Game 6: Magic vs. Cavaliers, TTBD
Game 6: Mavericks vs. Clippers, TBD Game 6: West No. 8 vs. Thunder, TBD

Saturday, May 4
Game 7: Knicks vs. 76ers, TBD Game 7: Bucks vs. Pacers, TBD
Game 7: Timberwolves vs. Suns, TBD Game 7: Nuggets vs. Lakers, TBD

Sunday, May 5
Game 7: Celtics vs. East No. 8, TBD Game 7: Cavaliers vs. Magic, TBD
Game 7: West No. 8 vs. Thunder, TBD Game 7: Clippers vs. Mavericks, TBD

2024 NBA playoff dates
April 20-21: Start of first round
May 4-7: Start of second round
May 19-22: Start of Conference Finals
June 6: NBA Finals Game 1
June 23: NBA Finals Game 7 (if necessary)

19 Apr

Trae Young couldn’t lead the Hawks into the playoffs, and it’s time for Atlanta to trade the star guard

The Chicago Bulls scored their 121st point on Wednesday with just under seven minutes remaining. If they’d had a reason to really go for it, they probably could’ve matched or exceeded their season-high of 136. I bring this up because both of those games came against the Atlanta Hawks.

Opponents hitting their season-high in scoring against the Hawks had become a startlingly common trend. There are 29 teams in the NBA outside of Atlanta. Five of them, the Bulls (136), Pacers (157), Mavericks (148), Nuggets (142) and Spurs (135) hit their season-high against Atlanta. The Pacers alone reached 150 points against the Hawks on three separate occasions. Atlanta allowed 135 or more points 11 different times. The Timberwolves didn’t do that once all year.

That’s not all Trae Young’s fault… but it would be hard to keep ignoring what a seismic negative impact he has on Atlanta’s defense. Atlanta allowed 119.1 points per 100 possessions with Young on the floor this season, just half a point off of the NBA record for worst defensive efficiency over a full season. Young has played six NBA seasons and the Hawks have been better on defense without him in each of them. In the first four, Atlanta’s defense produced its best defensive rating during any player’s absences with Young sitting. The trend line here is pretty clear. When Young rests, the Hawks are generally pretty good on defense. When he plays, they’re bad.

That’s more or less what happened when Young missed 23 games near the end of the season. The Hawks went 12-11 with the 18th-best defensive rating in the NBA. Not great. Not terrible. On the year, the Hawks were 14-14 without Young and 22-33 with him (including Wednesday’s season-ending Play-In game). Young has generally made up for those defensive shortcomings by leading a very good offense. The Hawks ranked 12th this year. Not exactly a worthwhile trade for arguably the worst defender in the NBA.

This can be somewhat easily hand-waved by saying that the fit with Dejounte Murray just hasn’t work. Atlanta got outscored by 6.3 points per 100 possessions with both of them on the floor, according to Cleaning the Glass. The Hawks had a positive net rating when either played without the other, and in both cases, their offensive rating improved considerably. The eye-test pretty quickly tells you why that is.

Young wants to run spread pick-and-roll every time down the floor. His priorities, in order, are to get a layup, get fouled, get a clean floater, get a clean 3-pointer, throw a clean lob or kick it out to an open shooter. This is antithetical to Murray’s desire to dribble too much and settle for contested mid-range jumpers. The partnership might be able to survive a “your turn, my turn” compromise if either were consistent shooters off the catch or eager movers off of the ball. Neither have been.

This is probably where you’d chime, having read the headline, and ask “but Sam, if the partnership isn’t working, why wouldn’t the Hawks just trade Murray, the inferior offensive engine of the two?” Well… they tried that. If an acceptable offer had come, they likely would have taken it. The best offer seemingly came from the Lakers. It would have involved their 2029 first-round pick, potentially a swap, and matching salary that reportedly would not have included Austin Reaves. That’s a far cry from the three first-round picks and one swap that the Hawks paid for Murray in the 2022 offseason. It also would have defied the wishes of head coach Quin Snyder, who reportedly wanted the Hawks to keep Murray.

Such a deal also likely would have condemned the Hawks to the purgatory of mediocrity for the duration of Young’s contract. They’d be operating at a draft pick deficit in a trade market that includes half a dozen teams (the Thunder, Jazz, Spurs, Knicks, Nets and Pelicans) with surpluses big enough to outbid basically anyone for any worthwhile player. Free agency isn’t an answer here either. The Hawks have more than $163 million committed to 12 players next season. Just filling out the roster is going to take the Hawks close to the projected $172 million luxury tax. Sure, there’s a bit of relief coming in the 2025 offseason, when Clint Capela’s deal expires, but that space will almost certainly be gobbled up by an extension for breakout forward Jalen Johnson.

All of this brings us back to the headline’s proposal. If all keeping Young would accomplish is another few years of mediocrity, it’s in the team’s best interest to trade him now, while he still has two years of contractual control, than to hold on to him and either lock themselves into another enormous contract or risk him using his impending 2027 free agency as leverage to force a trade somewhere that can’t give the Hawks the assets that they want. And, in this case, there are a few assets that Atlanta should very badly want.

The best-case outcome for the Hawks would be interest in Young from the San Antonio Spurs. Why? Because the Spurs control Atlanta’s first-round picks in 2025, 2026 and 2027. Those picks are the key to unlocking a full rebuild for Atlanta. Get them back and suddenly you’re pick-neutral again. That least opens the door to tanking for better picks, especially ahead of the loaded 2025 draft class. Move Murray in addition to Young and you’re suddenly looking at a pick surplus as you start this rebuild.

But even if trading both is a non-starter, Snyder and the Hawks are both very aware of how to build a competitive team without a megastar. The 2014-15 Hawks won 60 games without one. Snyder wasn’t on that staff, but he was an assistant under Mike Budenholzer in the prior season. He saw the development of that team firsthand.

Obviously, the Hawks shouldn’t expect to build a 60-win team around Dejounte Murray. But if this year’s group could go .500 with him at the helm, it’s worth wondering what it could be with a pile of assets acquired in a Young deal. Perhaps there are even players the Hawks could target that would balance out their roster a bit. Would the Pelicans consider a swap of Brandon Ingram for Young given their wing depth? Even if the deal only includes picks, those picks can be redirected for players in separate deals. In this new, second-apron reality we now live in, somebody is going to try to build a winner with no max contracts. Perhaps that team will be Atlanta.

None of these paths necessarily generate great odds at championship contention, but well, the Hawks have themselves to blame for that after trading Luka Doncic to get Young in the first place. None of the options here are great. I think we can all agree that allowing 131 points to the Bulls in a No. 9 vs. No. 10 Play-In Game isn’t the best one on the board.